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RealTime Economic Issues Watch

A website forum in which senior fellows of the Peterson Institute for International Economics discuss and debate their responses to global economic and financial developments as they occur each day and offer insights that others might overlook.

Author Archive: Adam S. Posen

How Will the Markets React to the Fed Appointment Process?

by Adam S. Posen | January 26th, 2010 | 12:44 pm

With all the current attention to the reappointment vote on Fed Chairman Bernanke, we would direct people to our recent paper, "Do Markets Care Who Chairs the Central Bank?", forthcoming in next month’s issue of the Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. In it, we make the first ever assessment of [...]

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The Bitter (Cold) End of the G-7

by Adam S. Posen | December 24th, 2009 | 09:55 am

A colleague unlucky enough to have to attend reminded me that the potentially last G7 finance ministers’ meeting, or at least the last one that may matter at all, is scheduled for Iqaluit, Canada. In February. Iqaluit, which means a place of many fish in the local Inuktitut language, [...]

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German-American Economic Divergences on the Occasion of Merkel’s White House Visit

by Adam S. Posen | June 26th, 2009 | 01:25 pm

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will meet with President Obama today, June 26, in Washington to deepen US-German cooperation on economic, security, and climate-change issues. An unfortunate quote of mine to a German paper from some months back has been trotted out in the press to exemplify informed American skepticism on the German governing coalition’s economic [...]

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How Useful Were Recent Financial Innovations? There Is Reason To Be Skeptical

by Adam S. Posen | May 7th, 2009 | 05:45 pm

Who could be against innovation? That is the argument used by industries that wish to avoid regulation, that excessive government oversight will diminish incentives to innovate, or erode property rights to innovations, and we all will be worse off for it. And in the broad, this is a valid concern. We are all better off [...]

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How to Grade the Stress Tests and PPIP

by Adam S. Posen | May 4th, 2009 | 04:16 pm

In school, usually one cannot postpone exams, and only real grubbers try to negotiate with their examining professors for better grades. In medicine, if one puts off one’s diagnostic tests, problems usually get worse. Whichever analogy the Treasury tries to use for explaining their stress tests, the drawing out of the process and the release [...]

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